Latest out of Iowa

I'm headed out the door on another business trip, but I wanted to quickly check in one last time for the week with the latest Research 2000 Iowa numbers -- and they are a doozy.

In short, Gephardt and Dean are kicking ass, while Kerry and Lieberman are fading:

	JUNE	MARCH
Gephardt	27	22
Kerry	14	20
Dean	11	6
Lieberman	10	16
Edwards	4	8

Edwards continues his freefall. All the money in the world won't pull him out of it. Beats me why, but perhaps people want a more "seasoned" president in this post-9-11 environment.

Lieberman is a one-trick pony (name ID) -- the more people see the other candidates, they less likely they are to support him. He may lead in other states (like AZ and MI), but that won't hold once the other candidates focus their attentions in those places. We may have a compressed primary schedule, but it's not compressed enough to rescue Lieberman.

Kerry is interesting. I've been saying he's lacked fire, and that may be coming through. I can't imagine Kerry supporters jumping to Gephardt, but I suppose it could happen. They're more likely going to Dean.

Gephardt is chugging along nicely, opening up a significant lead in the state. It's his to lose.

Posted June 05, 2003 05:05 PM | Comments (168)