Latest Q-poll results

The latest Quinnipac University poll is out. In the Dem race, the national numbers give Lieberman better news than other recent polls (June 11 numbers in parenthesis):

Lieberman 21 (22)
Gephardt 16 (17)
Kerry 13 (15)
Dean 10 (5)
Edwards 4 (5)
Sharpton 6 (5)
Graham 3 (6)
Moseley-Braun 4 (4)
Kucinich 2 (1)
DK/NA 21 (21)

Of course, the MOE is about 5 percent, which makes the numbers a sort of a wash. But trends-wise, everyone seems to be treading water but Dean, who doubled his support in a month.

But I am particularly interested in these numbers:

5. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom
Lieberman	41	7	80	42	38	44
Bush	51	89	11	48	54	47
6. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom
Kerry	40	8	75	39	39	40
Bush	51	88	13	49	53	49
7. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom
Gephardt	42	8	81	42	40	44
Bush	51	89	12	48	53	48
8. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Howard Dean the Democrat and George W.Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom
Dean	37	6	74	36	38	37
Bush	53	89	15	53	55	52

Everyone seems to be about equal, except Dean, who is lagging a bit behind. Part of that is probably name recognition, since the other three Democrats in this portion of the poll are far better known than the doctor.

But there does seem to be a considerable "gender-gap", which accounts for a large part of Dean's lag. Any ideas on what this could mean?

Posted July 24, 2003 09:52 AM